WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://gcris.khas.edu.tr/handle/20.500.12469/4465

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Now showing 1 - 20 of 34

Citation Count: 5
Art investment: hedging or safe haven through financial crises
(Springer, 2020) Öztürkkal, Belma; Toğan-Eğrican, Aslı
We analyze long-term art auction sales data focusing on and around financial crisis periods with other investment returns to understand whether art can be considered a safe haven during volatile times or a hedging option in general by analyzing art auction data in a volatile emerging market. Our findings suggest Turkish art returns are either negatively correlated or at low correlation with other investments, including the equity market. We have the view that art can be considered a hedging mechanism on average to enhance returns and to decrease the risk of portfolios and improve diversification. However, we do not discard the safe-haven hypothesis, either. Although the auction data on the crisis period is limited, results of and around crisis periods show art returns are positively correlated with various volatility indices. In addition, the number of art transactions also increases after the crisis years, which may be a sign of liquidity requirement of some investors and an opportunity for buyers. The benefit is visible especially during years of contractions, which do not end with a very severe crisis, since the art auction market liquidity dries if the crisis is severe.
Citation Count: 29
Bank credit in uncertain times: Islamic vs. conventional banks
(Elsevier Ltd, 2020) Bilgin, Mehmet Hüseyin; Danışman, Gamze Öztürk; Demir, Ender; Tarazi, Amine
This paper explores whether the impact of economic uncertainty on credit growth differs for Islamic vs. conventional banks. Using a sample of 416 banks (58 Islamic and 358 conventional) in 12 countries, the findings indicate that an increase in economic uncertainty significantly decreases the credit growth of conventional banks but does not have any significant impact on Islamic banks’ credit growth. Our results are robust to alternative specifications and addressing endogeneity concerns using GMM estimators. We further observe that our findings are stronger for the following countries: (1) countries with explicit deposit insurance protection system for Islamic banks, (2) lower foreign dominance, and (3) countries with a higher share of deposits and assets in Islamic banks.
Citation Count: 20
A behavioral analysis of investor diversification
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2014) Fuertes, Ana-Maria; Muradoğlu, Gülnur; Öztürkkal, Belma
This paper studies the link between individual investors' portfolio diversification levels and various personal traits that proxy informational advantages and overconfidence. The analysis is based on objective data from the largest Turkish brokerage house tracking 59951 individual investors' accounts with a total of 3248654 million transactions over the period 2008-2010. Wealthier highly educated older investors working in the finance sector and those trading relatively often show higher diversification levels possibly because they are better equipped to obtain and process information. Finance professionals married investors and those placing high-volume orders through investment centers show poorer diversification possibly as a reflection of overconfidence. Our analysis reveals important nonlinear effects implying that the marginal impact of overconfidence on diversification is not uniform across investors but varies according to the investor's information gathering and processing abilities.
Citation Count: 11
Behavioral Biases Of Finance Professionals: Turkish Evidence
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2016) Kiymaz, Halil; Öztürkkal, Belma; Akkemik, K. Ali
This study extends the existing literature on the determinants of behavioral biases of Turkish finance sector professionals. It examines the impact of various personal and objective attributes of finance sector professionals on their risk choices derived from their portfolio allocation and personal wealth data. Utilizing survey data from 206 professionals we find that these professionals take higher risk in the form of investment in equities when investing in home country firms (geographic bias) and investing in firms headquartered in their home towns (home bias). Those relying on their own predictions when making investment decisions and those with emotional biases invest less in equities. Findings further show that younger professionals professional with less education with lower risk aversion and with single broker accounts are more likely to invest in equities. We also find that those with higher expected returns invest more in equities showing overconfidence. Subsample analysis results for finance professionals suggest that portfolio managers and brokerage company professionals display differing risk taking behavior. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 11
Bivariate Pseudo-Gompertz distribution and concomitants of its order statistics
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2013) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi
This paper presents a new bivariate Pseudo-Gompertz distribution that sprouts from the classical Gompertz distribution and possesses the features of pseudo-distribution functions. In addition to some standard properties of the proposed distribution distributions of order statistics and their concomitants for samples drawn from the new distribution are obtained. The survival and hazard functions of the concomitants are shown and their values are tabled. Interpretations of the results are given in connection with risk events and risk management. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 3
Competition in Turkish Banking: Impacts of Restructuring and the Global Financial Crisis
(Wiley, 2014) Yıldırım, Canan
This paper investigates the evolution of competition in the Turkish banking industry by taking into account the transformation in the sector in the aftermath of the country's financial crisis of 2000 to 2001 and the global financial crisis. The results demonstrate that the level of competition in the system did not increase despite the restructuring that was undertaken and the increased foreign bank participation. In addition the level of competition in the sector deteriorated during the global crisis. There is also some evidence that the market power of banks with different ownership characteristics varied and did not converge over time.
Citation Count: 4
Computing finite time non-ruin probability and some joint distributions in discrete time risk model with exchangeable claim occurrences
(Elsevier Science, 2017) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi
In this paper we study a discrete time risk model based on exchangeable dependent claim occurrences. In particular we obtain expressions for the finite time non-ruin probability and the joint distribution of the time to ruin the surplus immediately before ruin and the deficit at ruin. An illustration of the results is given and some implications of the results are provided. Comparisons are made with the corresponding results for the classical compound binomial model of independent and identically distributed claim occurrences. (C) 2016 Elsevier E.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 14
Determinants of Saving-Borrowing Decisions and Financial Inclusion in a High Middle Income Country: The Turkish Case
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2016) Davutyan, Nurhan; Öztürkkal, Belma
We use a representative survey of the Turkish household sector and investigate factors impinging on saving-borrowing behavior. We run four probit regressions to elucidate (i) the saving decision (ii) asset choice or portfolio composition for those who save (iii) the bank loan decision and lastly (iv) the formal versus informal borrowing decision. We find income education marital status and region within country strongly correlate with those decisions. We offer some insights regarding the influence of variables like rural to urban migrant status and religious belief on saving and borrowing decisions. We discuss the long-term implications of our findings on the Turkish household savings performance.
Citation Count: 8
Does mood affect institutional herding?
(Elsevier, 2020) Gavriilidis, Konstantinos; Kallinterakis, Vasileios; Öztürkkal, Belma
Drawing on a unique data set of daily portfolio holdings for Turkish mutual funds we investigate the relationship between mood and institutional herding on the premises of various established mood proxies (weekend effect; holiday effect; Ramadan; sunshine). Results indicate that fund managers in Turkey herd significantly, with their herding growing in magnitude as the number of active funds per stock rises and appearing stronger on the buy-than the sell-side. Although the relationship of mood with institutional herding occasionally assumes the correct sign as per theoretical expectations, institutional herding is found to be insignificantly different across various mood states, thus denoting that mood does not impact the propensity of fund managers to herd. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 44
Economic Policy Uncertainty And Bank Credit Growth: Evidence From European Banks
(Elsevier B.V., 2020) Ersan, Oğuz; Ersan, Oğuz; Demir, Ender
Using a sample of 2977 private and listed banks in the EU-5 countries (the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Italy, France) for the years 2009–2018, this paper explores the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on credit growth. Using panel data fixed effects methodology and controlling for endogeneity using two-step difference GMM estimators, our findings indicate that uncertainty in economic policies hampers the credit growth of European banks. Our bank type-based analyses indicate that the effect is mainly valid for cooperative banks. Additional analyses imply that the negative impact of EPU on credit growth is more pronounced in civil law countries, increases with debt maturity, and weakens for banks with a larger number of employees and branches. Furthermore, the unfavorable effects are stronger in well-capitalized banks, banks with foreign subsidiaries, and banks with a higher share of wholesale funding. We also provide several policy implications for different economic actors.
Citation Count: 62
Economic policy uncertainty, stakeholder engagement, and environmental, social, and governance practices: The moderating effect of competition
(Wiley, 2020) Vural-Yavaş, Çiğdem
his paper investigates the effect of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on corporate environmental, social, and governance practices (ESG), using 6,562 firm-year observations from 15 developed European countries covering the period from 2004 to 2017. The results show that during periods of high uncertainty, firms increase their overall ESG performance, corporate environmental performance, and performance in governance. The relationship is valid for emission, resource use, workforce, management, and corporate social responsibility (CSR) strategy subdimensions of ESG. Furthermore, during periods of high uncertainty, firms operating in concentrated industries increase their overall ESG activities and corporate environmental performance. These results suggest that firms use ESG practices as risk-reducing activities like insurance, during high periods of uncertainty. Overall, consistent with the stakeholder theory, the results indicate that firms increase their ESG practices not only to reduce corporate risk-taking but also to follow value-increasing activities during periods of high uncertainty, implying an improved stakeholder engagement.
Citation Count: 10
Efficiency analysis of Black sea container seaports: application of an integrated MCDM approach
(Routledge, 2020) Görçün, Ömer Faruk
The current paper carries out an examination about the selection of the proper container seaport, which in the Black sea region. This paper focuses on a research question. Is it possible to apply multi-criteria decision-making methods that can be applied more easily than the DEA technique for decision-makers? In order to determine the best performance analysis technique that can give successful results, two-hybrid multi-criteria decision-making models were selected and operational performances of the container ports in the Black Sea region were analyzed with the help of these integrated approaches. While the first MCDM model consists of the entropy and OCRA technique, the second hybrid model consists of the Entropy and EATWIOS method. The main aim of this paper is to discuss whether these proposed hybrid models can be implemented to make an effective performance analysis for the maritime industry. The second aim of this paper is to evaluate the Black sea container seaports with the help of this suggested model. The study reveals that the proposed MCDM models can be implemented for container port selection successfully and easily and both of them have given very closer results to each other in aspects of the evaluation of the criteria and options.
Citation Count: 10
Efficiency in Turkish banking: post-restructuring evidence
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2017) Davutyan, Nurhan; Yıldırım, Canan
Turkish banking sector went through a significant restructuring process in the aftermath of the country's financial crisis of 2000-2001. In this paper we analyze the evolution of banking performance using a novel approach due to Ray [(2007). Shadow Profit Maximization and a Measure of Overall Inefficiency. Journal of Productivity Analysis 27 231-236]. We derive shadow unrealized profit scores' as well as shadow input-output prices' for each year and bank in the sector from 2002 to 2011. We argue these scores operationalize the Hicksian concept of monopolistic quiet life'. We provide some evidence the sector came closer to the zero profit condition' as well as displaying a closer approximation to the law of one price' over time. We show the variability of these shadow prices' essentially coincides with that of corresponding actual prices. We utilize shadow price information to show that business models and competitive choices of banks differ across ownership types with foreign banks competing on the broadest front compared to state-owned and privately owned Turkish banks.
Citation Count: 3
The Government-Sponsored Enterprises
(John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2011) Acharya, Viral V.; Öncü, T. Sabri; Richardson, Matthew; Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn; White, Lawrence J.
[Abstract Not Available]
Citation Count: 3
Information cascades, short-selling constraints, and herding in equity markets
(Borsa İstanbul Anonim Şirketi, 2020) Tiniç, Murat; Iqbal, Muhammad Sabeeh; Mahmud, Syed F.
This paper examines the relationship between informed trading and herding in Borsa İstanbul. Our firm-level cross-sectional analysis asserts that informed trading can significantly increase future herding levels. Furthermore, we show that the relationship between informed trading and herding intensifies under short-selling restrictions. Our results confirm the predictions of the informational cascades framework where the individuals disregard their private information to follow others. We show that information cascades are relevant both for buy-side herding and sell-side herding. Short-selling restrictions may reinforce the herding behaviour since informed investors may not be able to clear out potential price misalignments.
Citation Count: 2
Informed trading, order flow shocks and the cross section of expected returns in Borsa Istanbul
(Routledge Journals, 2020) Tiniç, Murat; Salih, Aslihan
This paper examines the relationship between information asymmetry and stock returns in Borsa Istanbul. For all stocks that are traded in Borsa Istanbul between March 2005 and April 2017, we estimate the probability of informed trading (PIN) to proxy for information asymmetry.? Firm-level cross-sectional regressions indicate a statistically insignificant relationship between PIN estimates and future returns. Moreover, univariate and multivariate portfolio analyses assert that investors that hold stocks that have high information asymmetry do not obtain significant future returns. Consequently, our results suggest that information asymmetry proxied by PIN is a firm-specific risk and can be eliminated with portfolio diversification. Findings are robust to different factorizations in estimating PIN and free of any bias due to trade classification algorithms, boundary solutions, floating-point exceptions and symmetric?order flow shocks.
Citation Count: 3
Liberalization Post-Crisis Restructuring and Internationalization in Turkish Banking
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2015) Yıldırım, Canan
This study provides a historical review of the transformation of the Turkish banking sector since the initiation of the financial liberalization program in 1980. It demonstrates the roles of macroeconomic institutional and firm-level factors in the evolution of market and ownership structures as well as the performance of the sector. It focuses on the penetration of foreign banks in the Turkish market and the more recently observed entries of Turkish banks into neighboring countries. It contributes to the literature by illustrating how the domestic macroeconomic and institutional environment together with international banking circumstances affect the processes and outcomes of internationalization in emerging banking markets.
Citation Count: 1
A max–min model of random variables in bivariate random sequences
(Elsevier, 2021) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi
We introduce a max–min model to bivariate random sequences and applying bivariate binomial distribution in fourfold scheme derive the distributions of associated order statistics in a new model. Some examples for special cases are presented and applications of the results in reliability analysis and actuarial sciences are discussed.
Citation Count: 1
The maximum surplus in a finite-time interval for a discrete-time risk model with exchangeable dependent claim occurrences
(John Wiley and Sons Ltd, 2019) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Eryilmaz, Serkan
This paper investigates a discrete-time risk model that involves exchangeable dependent loss generating claim occurrences and compound binomially distributed aggregate loss amounts. First a general framework is presented to derive the distribution of a surplus sequence using the model. This framework is then applied to obtain the distribution of any function of a surplus sequence in a finite-time interval. Specifically the distribution of the maximum surplus is obtained under nonruin conditions. Based on this distribution the computation of the minimum surplus distribution is given. Asset and risk management–oriented implications are discussed for the obtained distributions based on numerical evaluations. In addition comparisons are made involving the corresponding results of the classical discrete-time compound binomial risk model for which claim occurrences are independent and identically distributed. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Citation Count: 1
Measurement of bivariate risks by the north-south quantile points approach
(Elsevier Science, 2014) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi
This paper attempts to determine the Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) measures for the sum of bivariate risks under dependence. The computation of these risk measures is performed by the north-south quantile points of bivariate distributions. The Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula model is chosen to express dependence of bivariate risks. The behaviors of VaR and CVaR are examined by varying dependence parameter values of the copula model and probability levels of the risk measures. The findings are interpreted from the view point of portfolio risk management. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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