Yönetim Bilişim Sistemleri Bölümü Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12469/68

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Citation - WoS: 10
Citation - Scopus: 19
Ontology-Based Data Acquisition Model Development for Agricultural Open Data Platforms and Implementation of Owl2mvc Tool
(Elsevier, 2020) Aydın, Şahin; Aydın, Mehmet Nafiz
In the open data world, it is difficult to collect data in compliance with a certain data model that is of interest to different types of stakeholders within a domain like agriculture. Ontologies that provide broad vocabularies and metadata with respect to a given domain can be used to create various data models. We consider that while creating data acquisition forms to gather data related to an agricultural product, which is hazelnut in this study, from stakeholders of the relevant domain, the traits can be modeled as attributes of the data models. We propose a generic ontology-based data acquisition model to create data acquisition forms based on model-view-controller (MVC) design pattern, to publish and make use of on the agricultural open data platforms. We develop a tool called OWL2MVC that integrates the Hazelnut Ontology, which illustrates the effectiveness of the proposed model for generating data acquisition forms. Because model creation is implemented in compliance with the selection of ontology classes, stakeholders; in other words, the users of OWL2MVC Tool could generate data acquisition forms quickly and independently. OWL2MVC Tool was evaluated in terms of usability by fifty-three respondents implementing the case-study scenario. Among others the findings show that the tool has satisfactory usability score overall and is promising to provide stakeholders with required support for agricultural open data platforms.
Citation - WoS: 13
Citation - Scopus: 18
Strategic Early Warning System for the French Milk Market: a Graph Theoretical Approach To Foresee Volatility
(Elsevier, 2017) Bisson, Christophe; Diner, Öznur Yaşar
This paper presents a new approach for developing a Strategic Early Warning System aiming to better detect and interpret weak signals. We chose the milk market as a case study in line with the recent call from the EU Commission for governance tools which help to better address such highly volatile markets. Furthermore on the first of April 2015 the new Common Agricultural Policy ended quotas for milk which led to a milk crisis in the EU. Thus we collaborated with milk experts to get their inputs for a new model to analyse the competitive environment. Consequently we constructed graphs to represent the major factors that affect the milk industry and the relationships between them. We obtained several network measures for this social network such as centrality and density. Some factors appear to have the largest major influence on all the other graph elements while others strongly interact in cliques. Any detected changes in any of these factors will automatically impact the others. Therefore scanning ones competitive environment can allow an organisation to get an early warning to help it avoid an issue (as much as possible) and/or seize an opportunity before its competitors. We conclude that Strategic Early Warning Systems as a corporate foresight approach utilising graph theory can strengthen the governance of markets. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Citation - Scopus: 46
Random Capsnet Forest Model for Imbalanced Malware Type Classification Task
(Elsevier, 2021) Çayır, Aykut; Ünal, Uğur; Dağ, Hasan
Behavior of malware varies depending the malware types, which affects the strategies of the system protection software. Many malware classification models, empowered by machine and/or deep learning, achieve superior accuracies for predicting malware types. Machine learning-based models need to do heavy feature engineering work, which affects the performance of the models greatly. On the other hand, deep learning-based models require less effort in feature engineering when compared to that of the machine learning-based models. However, traditional deep learning architectures components, such as max and average pooling, cause architecture to be more complex and the models to be more sensitive to data. The capsule network architectures, on the other hand, reduce the aforementioned complexities by eliminating the pooling components. Additionally, capsule network architectures based models are less sensitive to data, unlike the classical convolutional neural network architectures. This paper proposes an ensemble capsule network model based on the bootstrap aggregating technique. The proposed method is tested on two widely used, highly imbalanced datasets (Malimg and BIG2015), for which the-state-of-the-art results are well-known and can be used for comparison purposes. The proposed model achieves the highest F-Score, which is 0.9820, for the BIG2015 dataset and F-Score, which is 0.9661, for the Malimg dataset. Our model also reaches the-state-of-the-art, using 99.7% lower the number of trainable parameters than the best model in the literature.
Citation - WoS: 79
Citation - Scopus: 96
Forecasting Electricity Demand for Turkey: Modeling Periodic Variations and Demand Segregation
(Elsevier, 2017) Yükseltan, Ergün; Yücekaya, Ahmet; Bilge, Ayşe Hümeyra
In deregulated electricity markets the independent system operator (ISO) oversees the power system and manages the supply and demand balancing process. In a typical day the ISO announces the electricity demand forecast for the next day and gives participants an option to prepare offers to meet the demand. In order to have a reliable power system and successful market operation it is crucial to estimate the electricity demand accurately. In this paper we develop an hourly demand forecasting method on annual weekly and daily horizons using a linear model that takes into account the harmonics of these variations and the modulation of diurnal periodic variations by seasonal variations. The electricity demand exhibits cyclic behavior with different seasonal characteristics. Our model is based solely on sinusoidal variations and predicts hourly variations without using any climatic or econometric information. The method is applied to the Turkish power market on data for the period 2012-2014 and predicts the demand over daily and weekly horizons within a 3% error margin in the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) norm. We also discuss the week day/weekend/holiday consumption profiles to infer the proportion of industrial and domestic electricity consumption. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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