Uluslararası Ticaret ve Finans Bölümü Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://gcris.khas.edu.tr/handle/20.500.12469/67

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Citation Count: 5
Art investment: hedging or safe haven through financial crises
(Springer, 2020) Öztürkkal, Belma; Toğan-Eğrican, Aslı
We analyze long-term art auction sales data focusing on and around financial crisis periods with other investment returns to understand whether art can be considered a safe haven during volatile times or a hedging option in general by analyzing art auction data in a volatile emerging market. Our findings suggest Turkish art returns are either negatively correlated or at low correlation with other investments, including the equity market. We have the view that art can be considered a hedging mechanism on average to enhance returns and to decrease the risk of portfolios and improve diversification. However, we do not discard the safe-haven hypothesis, either. Although the auction data on the crisis period is limited, results of and around crisis periods show art returns are positively correlated with various volatility indices. In addition, the number of art transactions also increases after the crisis years, which may be a sign of liquidity requirement of some investors and an opportunity for buyers. The benefit is visible especially during years of contractions, which do not end with a very severe crisis, since the art auction market liquidity dries if the crisis is severe.
Citation Count: 20
A behavioral analysis of investor diversification
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2014) Fuertes, Ana-Maria; Muradoğlu, Gülnur; Öztürkkal, Belma
This paper studies the link between individual investors' portfolio diversification levels and various personal traits that proxy informational advantages and overconfidence. The analysis is based on objective data from the largest Turkish brokerage house tracking 59951 individual investors' accounts with a total of 3248654 million transactions over the period 2008-2010. Wealthier highly educated older investors working in the finance sector and those trading relatively often show higher diversification levels possibly because they are better equipped to obtain and process information. Finance professionals married investors and those placing high-volume orders through investment centers show poorer diversification possibly as a reflection of overconfidence. Our analysis reveals important nonlinear effects implying that the marginal impact of overconfidence on diversification is not uniform across investors but varies according to the investor's information gathering and processing abilities.
Citation Count: 11
Behavioral Biases Of Finance Professionals: Turkish Evidence
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2016) Kiymaz, Halil; Öztürkkal, Belma; Akkemik, K. Ali
This study extends the existing literature on the determinants of behavioral biases of Turkish finance sector professionals. It examines the impact of various personal and objective attributes of finance sector professionals on their risk choices derived from their portfolio allocation and personal wealth data. Utilizing survey data from 206 professionals we find that these professionals take higher risk in the form of investment in equities when investing in home country firms (geographic bias) and investing in firms headquartered in their home towns (home bias). Those relying on their own predictions when making investment decisions and those with emotional biases invest less in equities. Findings further show that younger professionals professional with less education with lower risk aversion and with single broker accounts are more likely to invest in equities. We also find that those with higher expected returns invest more in equities showing overconfidence. Subsample analysis results for finance professionals suggest that portfolio managers and brokerage company professionals display differing risk taking behavior. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 14
Determinants of Saving-Borrowing Decisions and Financial Inclusion in a High Middle Income Country: The Turkish Case
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2016) Davutyan, Nurhan; Öztürkkal, Belma
We use a representative survey of the Turkish household sector and investigate factors impinging on saving-borrowing behavior. We run four probit regressions to elucidate (i) the saving decision (ii) asset choice or portfolio composition for those who save (iii) the bank loan decision and lastly (iv) the formal versus informal borrowing decision. We find income education marital status and region within country strongly correlate with those decisions. We offer some insights regarding the influence of variables like rural to urban migrant status and religious belief on saving and borrowing decisions. We discuss the long-term implications of our findings on the Turkish household savings performance.
Citation Count: 8
Does mood affect institutional herding?
(Elsevier, 2020) Gavriilidis, Konstantinos; Kallinterakis, Vasileios; Öztürkkal, Belma
Drawing on a unique data set of daily portfolio holdings for Turkish mutual funds we investigate the relationship between mood and institutional herding on the premises of various established mood proxies (weekend effect; holiday effect; Ramadan; sunshine). Results indicate that fund managers in Turkey herd significantly, with their herding growing in magnitude as the number of active funds per stock rises and appearing stronger on the buy-than the sell-side. Although the relationship of mood with institutional herding occasionally assumes the correct sign as per theoretical expectations, institutional herding is found to be insignificantly different across various mood states, thus denoting that mood does not impact the propensity of fund managers to herd. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 44
Economic Policy Uncertainty And Bank Credit Growth: Evidence From European Banks
(Elsevier B.V., 2020) Ersan, Oğuz; Ersan, Oğuz; Demir, Ender
Using a sample of 2977 private and listed banks in the EU-5 countries (the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Italy, France) for the years 2009–2018, this paper explores the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on credit growth. Using panel data fixed effects methodology and controlling for endogeneity using two-step difference GMM estimators, our findings indicate that uncertainty in economic policies hampers the credit growth of European banks. Our bank type-based analyses indicate that the effect is mainly valid for cooperative banks. Additional analyses imply that the negative impact of EPU on credit growth is more pronounced in civil law countries, increases with debt maturity, and weakens for banks with a larger number of employees and branches. Furthermore, the unfavorable effects are stronger in well-capitalized banks, banks with foreign subsidiaries, and banks with a higher share of wholesale funding. We also provide several policy implications for different economic actors.
Citation Count: 62
Economic policy uncertainty, stakeholder engagement, and environmental, social, and governance practices: The moderating effect of competition
(Wiley, 2020) Vural-Yavaş, Çiğdem
his paper investigates the effect of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on corporate environmental, social, and governance practices (ESG), using 6,562 firm-year observations from 15 developed European countries covering the period from 2004 to 2017. The results show that during periods of high uncertainty, firms increase their overall ESG performance, corporate environmental performance, and performance in governance. The relationship is valid for emission, resource use, workforce, management, and corporate social responsibility (CSR) strategy subdimensions of ESG. Furthermore, during periods of high uncertainty, firms operating in concentrated industries increase their overall ESG activities and corporate environmental performance. These results suggest that firms use ESG practices as risk-reducing activities like insurance, during high periods of uncertainty. Overall, consistent with the stakeholder theory, the results indicate that firms increase their ESG practices not only to reduce corporate risk-taking but also to follow value-increasing activities during periods of high uncertainty, implying an improved stakeholder engagement.
Citation Count: 10
Efficiency analysis of Black sea container seaports: application of an integrated MCDM approach
(Routledge, 2020) Görçün, Ömer Faruk
The current paper carries out an examination about the selection of the proper container seaport, which in the Black sea region. This paper focuses on a research question. Is it possible to apply multi-criteria decision-making methods that can be applied more easily than the DEA technique for decision-makers? In order to determine the best performance analysis technique that can give successful results, two-hybrid multi-criteria decision-making models were selected and operational performances of the container ports in the Black Sea region were analyzed with the help of these integrated approaches. While the first MCDM model consists of the entropy and OCRA technique, the second hybrid model consists of the Entropy and EATWIOS method. The main aim of this paper is to discuss whether these proposed hybrid models can be implemented to make an effective performance analysis for the maritime industry. The second aim of this paper is to evaluate the Black sea container seaports with the help of this suggested model. The study reveals that the proposed MCDM models can be implemented for container port selection successfully and easily and both of them have given very closer results to each other in aspects of the evaluation of the criteria and options.
Citation Count: 10
Efficiency in Turkish banking: post-restructuring evidence
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2017) Davutyan, Nurhan; Yıldırım, Canan
Turkish banking sector went through a significant restructuring process in the aftermath of the country's financial crisis of 2000-2001. In this paper we analyze the evolution of banking performance using a novel approach due to Ray [(2007). Shadow Profit Maximization and a Measure of Overall Inefficiency. Journal of Productivity Analysis 27 231-236]. We derive shadow unrealized profit scores' as well as shadow input-output prices' for each year and bank in the sector from 2002 to 2011. We argue these scores operationalize the Hicksian concept of monopolistic quiet life'. We provide some evidence the sector came closer to the zero profit condition' as well as displaying a closer approximation to the law of one price' over time. We show the variability of these shadow prices' essentially coincides with that of corresponding actual prices. We utilize shadow price information to show that business models and competitive choices of banks differ across ownership types with foreign banks competing on the broadest front compared to state-owned and privately owned Turkish banks.
Citation Count: 3
Information cascades, short-selling constraints, and herding in equity markets
(Borsa İstanbul Anonim Şirketi, 2020) Tiniç, Murat; Iqbal, Muhammad Sabeeh; Mahmud, Syed F.
This paper examines the relationship between informed trading and herding in Borsa İstanbul. Our firm-level cross-sectional analysis asserts that informed trading can significantly increase future herding levels. Furthermore, we show that the relationship between informed trading and herding intensifies under short-selling restrictions. Our results confirm the predictions of the informational cascades framework where the individuals disregard their private information to follow others. We show that information cascades are relevant both for buy-side herding and sell-side herding. Short-selling restrictions may reinforce the herding behaviour since informed investors may not be able to clear out potential price misalignments.
Citation Count: 3
Liberalization Post-Crisis Restructuring and Internationalization in Turkish Banking
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2015) Yıldırım, Canan
This study provides a historical review of the transformation of the Turkish banking sector since the initiation of the financial liberalization program in 1980. It demonstrates the roles of macroeconomic institutional and firm-level factors in the evolution of market and ownership structures as well as the performance of the sector. It focuses on the penetration of foreign banks in the Turkish market and the more recently observed entries of Turkish banks into neighboring countries. It contributes to the literature by illustrating how the domestic macroeconomic and institutional environment together with international banking circumstances affect the processes and outcomes of internationalization in emerging banking markets.
Citation Count: 9
Modeling of claim exceedances over random thresholds for related insurance portfolios
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2011) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Tank, Fatih
Large claims in an actuarial risk process are of special importance for the actuarial decision making about several issues like pricing of risks determination of retention treaties and capital requirements for solvency. This paper presents a model about claim occurrences in an insurance portfolio that exceed the largest claim of another portfolio providing the same sort of insurance coverages. Two cases are taken into consideration: independent and identically distributed claims and exchangeable dependent claims in each of the portfolios. Copulas are used to model the dependence situations. Several theorems and examples are presented for the distributional properties and expected values of the critical quantities under concern. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 4
Political turmoil and the impact of foreign orders on equity prices
(Elsevier, 2020) Tiniç, Murat; Savaşer, Tanseli
This paper examines whether foreign investors possess an information advantage over local investors in the Turkish stock market between 2007 and 2015. We find that foreign investors have an information advantage in 24 stocks, corresponding to seven percent of the sample firms. Foreign investors' information advantage tends to prevail primarily during a period of political instability, which started with the Gezi Park protests in June 2013. The adverse selection component of the foreign trade spreads, which reflects a permanent change in stock prices, rises significantly after June 2013, by 66 bps. Our results suggest that domestic investors' funding constraints, which limit their ability to impart their information on stock prices, may give foreign investors a relative information advantage during periods of political turmoil. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 2
Profit sharing between managers and investors: An experimental investigation
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2015) Öztürkkal, Belma
This study analyzes the effect of interest and power structures and conflict of interest among managers and investors and tests the effect of different payout mechanisms on willingness to pay. In this study 74 student subjects are involved in a setting where the manager is determining his own compensation. A series of experiments that vary managers' ability to determine their own compensation and investors' ability to punish inappropriate behavior are reported. The experiments involve pairs of subjects consisting of an investor and a manager with asymmetric decision making powers. When managers compensate themselves inappropriately investors' recourse is to shun the company's shares-a model that arguably corresponds more closely to reality than the accepted efficient market traditional paradigm. The experiment shows that managers share profits even when investors cannot withhold investment and investors fairly compensate managers as well. This pattern explains both the ability of capital markets to function despite the presence of inherent moral hazard and occasional managerial misbehavior. Copyright (C) 2015 Borsa Istanbul Anonim Sirketi. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V.
Citation Count: 11
Turkey's Outward Foreign Direct Investment: Trends and Patterns of Mergers and Acquisitions
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2017) Yıldırım, Canan
The aim of this study is to examine the recent evolution of Turkish outward foreign direct investment together with Turkish firms' cross-border acquisitions across time countries and industries. The article suggests that macro-economic restructuring and institutional reforms together with strengthened competition at home and globally not only allowed but also forced Turkish firms to expand internationally. It shows that Turkish acquisitions are mostly directed towards European countries and are concentrated more in manufacturing than in the services industry. In addition most of the acquisitions involve firms operating in low-technology manufacturing and less knowledge-intensive services. These findings imply that Turkish firms might be motivated mainly towards accessing new markets and that the acquisitions do not seem to be utilized for technological upgrading and productivity improvements.
Citation Count: 17
Who Was Colonized And When? A Cross-Country Analysis of Determinants
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2016) Ertan, Sabri Arhan; Fiszbein, Martin; Futterman, Louis
The process of colonization has shaped the economic and demographic contours of the modern world. In this paper we study the determinants of the occurrence and timing of colonization of non-European countries by Western European powers. Of particular interest is the role of early development measures that are known to be strong correlates of present-day levels of income. We show that non-European societies with longer histories of agriculture and statehood and higher levels of technology adoption in 1500 were less likely to be colonized and tended to be colonized later if at all. We also find that proximity to the colonizing powers disease environment and latitude are significant predictors of the occurrence and timing of colonization although their impacts are less robust to choice of country sample. Our models have high explanatory power and their support for the significance of early development is robust to the use of alternative indicators of early development and disease to the use of instruments to focus on the exogenous component of early development and to the joint estimation of the colonization and timing equations to correct for potential selection bias. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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