Tekgüç, Hasan
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H. Tekgüç
Tekgüç, H.
T.,Hasan
Tekguc, Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Tekgüç, HASAN
Tekguc H.
HASAN TEKGÜÇ
Tekgüç,H.
T., Hasan
Hasan TEKGÜÇ
TEKGÜÇ, Hasan
Hasan Tekgüç
Tekguc,H.
TEKGÜÇ, HASAN
Hasan, Tekguc
Tekguc,Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Tekgüç, H.
T.,Hasan
Tekguc, Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Tekgüç, HASAN
Tekguc H.
HASAN TEKGÜÇ
Tekgüç,H.
T., Hasan
Hasan TEKGÜÇ
TEKGÜÇ, Hasan
Hasan Tekgüç
Tekguc,H.
TEKGÜÇ, HASAN
Hasan, Tekguc
Tekguc,Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Job Title
Prof. Dr.
Email Address
Main Affiliation
Economics
Status
Current Staff
Website
ORCID ID
Scopus Author ID
Turkish CoHE Profile ID
Google Scholar ID
WoS Researcher ID
Sustainable Development Goals
4
QUALITY EDUCATION

1
Research Products
6
CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION

0
Research Products
10
REDUCED INEQUALITIES

8
Research Products
13
CLIMATE ACTION

1
Research Products
14
LIFE BELOW WATER

0
Research Products
2
ZERO HUNGER

1
Research Products
8
DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

10
Research Products
12
RESPONSIBLE CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION

0
Research Products
9
INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE

1
Research Products
17
PARTNERSHIPS FOR THE GOALS

4
Research Products
1
NO POVERTY

7
Research Products
11
SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND COMMUNITIES

1
Research Products
15
LIFE ON LAND

0
Research Products
3
GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING

1
Research Products
7
AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY

0
Research Products
5
GENDER EQUALITY

3
Research Products
16
PEACE, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS

4
Research Products

Documents
20
Citations
158
h-index
8

Documents
0
Citations
0

Scholarly Output
22
Articles
16
Views / Downloads
9/0
Supervised MSc Theses
6
Supervised PhD Theses
0
WoS Citation Count
103
Scopus Citation Count
122
WoS h-index
6
Scopus h-index
7
Patents
0
Projects
0
WoS Citations per Publication
4.68
Scopus Citations per Publication
5.55
Open Access Source
12
Supervised Theses
6
| Journal | Count |
|---|---|
| New Perspectives on Turkey | 2 |
| International Journal of Forecasting | 2 |
| ILR Review | 1 |
| International Journal of Educational Development | 1 |
| IZA Journal of Labor Policy | 1 |
Current Page: 1 / 3
Scopus Quartile Distribution
Competency Cloud

22 results
Scholarly Output Search Results
Now showing 1 - 10 of 22
Article Toward a Green Income Support Policy: Investigating Social and Fiscal Alternatives for Turkey(Cambridge Univ Press, 2023) Dogan, Berna; Tekguc, Hasan; Yeldan, Alp ErincThe limited success of employment-based social protection measures under the diverging patterns of post-COVID-19 recovery rekindled interest in a social policy framework known as the Basic Income (BI) support. We test the potential of the BI program using five alternative scenarios ranging from households with income less than half of median income to all adults with estimates of their respective fiscal costs. We then employ an applied general equilibrium model to analyze the economy-wide effects and welfare implications for Turkey in the long run through 2030. We evaluate the macroeconomic and welfare effects of both a business-as-usual fiscal program and an alternative (green BI scenario) comprising of (i) carbon tax levied on the fossil fuel producing industry; (ii) corporate income taxation policy reform that aims at expanding the revenue base and consolidation of the fiscal space of the government; and (iii) restructuring of public consumption expenditures by introducing rationality and efficiency in the structure of fiscal expenditures. Our model solutions reveal that a green BI scenario not only achieves a higher GDP and welfare in the medium to long run but also helps Turkey to reduce its carbon emissions in line with the global policy challenges of a green recovery.Master Thesis Türkı̇ye İçı̇n Eşı̇tsı̇zlı̇k Tahmı̇nlerı̇ndekı̇ Aşağı Yönlü Yanlılığın Konut Fı̇yatları Verı̇lerı̇yle Düzeltı̇lmesı̇(2024) Karabulut, Fırat Çağlar; Tekgüç, HasanHanehalkı anketleri genellikle en çok kazananların gelirlerini yakalamakta başarısız olmaktadır. En çok kazananların anketlere yanıt verme olasılığı daha düşüktür ve müteşebbis gelirine ilişkin soruları yanıtlamama olasılıkları daha yüksektir, yani 'kayıp zengin' sorunu. Bu sorunları çözmek için literatürdeki en yaygın yöntem, gelir vergisi kayıtlarından elde edilen verilerin kullanılmasıdır. Gelişmekte olan ülkeler için vergi kayıtlarının kullanılması iki açıdan sorunludur: (i) bu ülkelerin çoğunda vergi kayıtlarının özet ölçümleri bile kamuya açık değildir ve (ii) vergi kaçakçılığı yaygındır ve resmi vergi kayıtları mevcut olsa bile muhtemelen güvenilir değildir. Bu nedenle, bu çalışmada 'kayıp zengin' sorunu, üst gelirleri tahmin etmek için www.sahibinden.com adresinden elde edilen konut fiyatı verileri kullanılarak düzeltilmiştir. Hanehalkı gelirlerini konut fiyatlarını kullanarak tahmin ediyoruz ve bu tahminleri anket verilerinin sağ kuyruğuna ekliyoruz. Hanehalkı Bütçe Anketi'nin 2019 yılında toplam hanelerin yaklaşık yüzde 5'ini eksik saydığını tahmin ediyoruz. Kayıp zengin haneler dahil edildiğinde, en üst %5'lik (%10) gelir payları %17'den (%27) %28'e (%40) yükselmektedir. Sonuç olarak, Türkiye'de hanehalkı gelirinin Gini endeksi 35,3'ten 50'ye yükselmiştir. Anahtar Sözcükler: eşitsizlik, Türkiye, konut fiyatları, en yüksek gelirler, gelir eşitsizliği, gelir dağılımıArticle Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 7Ethnic Fractionalization Conflict and Educational Development in Turkey(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2019) Oyvat, Cem; Tekgüç, HasanWe examine the impact of ethnic fractionalization and conflict on limiting the educational development in Southeastern Turkey. Our estimates show that although the armed conflict in the region did not directly hinder education investments it reduced school enrolment rates at middle and high school levels while increasing enrolment at the primary school level. Moreover we show that provinces with higher percentages of Kurdish population received less education investment. These results suggest that the neglect of Kurdish areas is an important factor behind Southeastern Turkey's educational underdevelopment while land inequality and the armed conflict had mixed effects on education in the region.Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5Heterogeneous Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes: a Case Study From Turkey(Walter de Gruyter, 2020) Işık, Enes; Orhangazi, Özgür; Tekgüç, HasanWe assess the effects of a sharp minimum wage increase on wages, informality, and employment in Turkey, a large developing economy with one of the highest minimum wage-to-average wage ratios among OECD countries and widespread discrepancies between labor market outcomes of women and of men. We look at the quasi-experimental 2016 minimum wage increase and pay attention to identifying information coming from demographic groups. We find that the increase in the minimum wage had an economically substantial and statistically significant positive impact on wages. Despite the positive wage effects of the increase, we find no negative employment effects. However, we show that the minimum wage increase may have caused an increase in the share of informal employment among workers with less than tertiary education, especially for such workers working for small firmsArticle Counterfactual Reconciliation: Incorporating Aggregation Constraints for More Accurate Causal Effect Estimates(Elsevier B.V., 2022) Cengiz, D.; Tekgüç, H.We extend the scope of the forecast reconciliation literature and use its tools in the context of causal inference. Researchers are interested in both the average treatment effect on the treated and treatment effect heterogeneity. We show that ex post correction of the counterfactual estimates using the aggregation constraints that stem from the hierarchical or grouped structure of the data is likely to yield more accurate estimates. Building on the geometric interpretation of forecast reconciliation, we provide additional insights into the exact factors determining the size of the accuracy improvement due to the reconciliation. We experiment with U.S. GDP and employment data. We find that the reconciled treatment effect estimates tend to be closer to the truth than the original (base) counterfactual estimates even in cases where the aggregation constraints are non-linear. Consistent with our theoretical expectations, improvement is greater when machine learning methods are used. © 2022 International Institute of ForecastersMaster Thesis Yerel Yönetimlerin Vergisiz Finansmanı: Yiyorlar ama Çalışıyorlar Çelişkisi(2025) Almaz, Hüseyin Emre; Tekgüç, HasanBu tez, Türkiye'deki belirli yerel yönetimlerin kentsel arazilerin ticarileştirilmesi ve inşaata açılması ile elde edilen gelirin, yani vergisiz elde edilen finansın, yerel yönetim bütçelerine olan etkisini ve yaratılan kentsel rantın dağıtım kanallarını incelemektedir. Kentsel arazilerin ticarileştirilmesi, özellikle hızlı kentleşme dönemlerinde inşaat faaliyetlerine uygulanan ücretler yoluyla yerel hükümet gelirlerini artırmakta önemli bir rol oynayabilir. Bu tür faaliyetlere uygulanan ücretler, vergilerde herhangi bir artış olmadan yerel bütçeleri büyütebilir. Bu yöntem literatürde vergisiz (kamu) finansmanı olarak adlandırılır. Değerli kamu arazilerinin kalkınma için tahsisi yolsuzlukla ilişkilendirilebilir. Bu nedenle, hızlı kentleşme dönemlerinde yerel siyasetin görünüşte çelişkili karakterleri üzerine tartışılabilir: yolsuz ama yetkin yöneticiler. Son 40 yılda Çin'deki hızlı kentleşme, literatürde bu tür uygulamaların özü olarak kabul edilir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye için vergisiz finansman tahminleri üreterek literatüre katkıda bulunulmaktadır. Ampirik analizde, bu tür gelirlerin yerel hükümet bütçelerindeki payı tahmin edilmektedir. 2007-2022 dönemi için bilanço verilerini yapı kullanım ve ruhsat izni verileriyle birleştirilmesinin ardından, ilk olarak, 2018'e kadar yerel gelirlerde gerçek bir artış ve sonrasında yapı kullanım eğilimlerine paralel olarak keskin bir düşüş gözlemlenmiştir. Daha sonra inşaatla ilgili faaliyetlerden elde edilen gelir payları tahmin edilmiştir. İstanbul belediyeleri için arazi ticarileştirmeyle ilgili gelirlerin ortalama payı %6-46 aralığındadır. Bir kıyas noktası olarak, arazi ticarileştirmesinden elde edilen belediye gelirleri, 2000'lerde Çin'deki belirli yerel yönetim gelirlerinin %16-46'sını oluşturmaktadır (Lin & Zhang, 2014).Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5Poverty and Income Distribution Incidence of the Covid-19 Outbreak: Investigating Socially Responsible Policy Alternatives for Turkey(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2023) Tekguc, Hasan; Unsal, Ezgi B.; Yeldan, ErincTo counterbalance the deep systemic global crisis triggered by the COVID-19, many countries introduced a vast arsenal of fiscal policy instruments coupled with monetary accommodation. Yet, Turkey's response had almost exclusively relied on credit expansion and loan guarantees while minimizing the role of fiscal policy. Within that context, this article has three interrelated objectives. Firstly, we evaluate the effects of the crisis and the implemented policies on poverty and income distribution. Second, we measure the macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19 on the Turkish economy through a general equilibrium model. We find that these policies had a limited impact on reducing crisis-induced poverty. Finally, we propose alternatives to mitigate the effects of the COVID-19 crisis, which are compatible with fiscal constraints. Our results suggest that by pursuing a targeted fiscal income transfer programme covering wage earners and small-sized enterprises, Turkey could have achieved a more egalitarian and effective response to the Covid-19 crisis.Article Citation - WoS: 24Citation - Scopus: 25Declining Poverty and Inequality in Turkey: the Effect of Social Assistance and Home Ownership(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2018) Tekgüç, HasanSocial assistance has become prominent in combating poverty in developing countries and has also contributed to the popularity and election success of governments implementing it. In this paper I employ household surveys and investigate the effect of social assistance on poverty and income inequality in Turkey. I also review the recent literature on poverty as well as different components of social protection spending: education health pensions and housing. In the empirical analysis I show that pensions still constitute the bulk of public transfers to households. Moreover home ownership ameliorates poverty and inequality for Turkey. Despite its modest amounts social assistance reduces poverty and its marginal effect on income inequality is larger than other income sources. These findings suggest that increases in social assistance budgets should accompany other policy measures in combating poverty and inequality.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 8Does Migration Contribute To Women's Empowerment? Portrait of Urban Turkey and Istanbul(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2019) Eryar, Değer; Tekgüç, Hasan; Toktaş, ŞuleThis article empirically investigates the impact of internal migration on women's empowerment in urban areas of Turkey. Based on data from a nationally representative household survey we find that migration exerts a positive impact in urban settings through improvements in educational attainment and labor market outcomes. Migration contributes to women's empowerment by raising their education levels and lowering the gap in schooling between men and women. Migration also allows migrants both men and women and particularly those with tertiary education to access jobs and occupations in high wage regions like Istanbul. However unlike in education a gender wage gap persists even after migration.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1Redistribution Trends in Turkey: Unintended Consequences Vs. Deliberate Policies(Wiley, 2025) Tekguc, Hasan; Eryar, DegerWe investigate the impact of taxes, transfers, and social spending on inequality in Turkey during the first two decades of the 21st century. We employ Household Budget Surveys from 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, and 2019 to estimate market, pension as deferred income, gross, disposable, consumable, and final incomes following the framework developed by the Commitment to Equality Institute. We show that the equality-enhancing effect of total taxes and transfers became more noticeable, resulting in a larger decline in the Gini coefficient from 2003 (12 percentage points) to 2019 (17 percentage points). A large part of the higher equality-enhancing impact over time is accounted for by the unintended consequences of structural changes, past policies, and demographic trends. We focus on the forbearance of self-employment and capital income under-reporting, the endurance of past pension policies, the effect of the declining fertility rate, and explicit policy choices in the areas of health and social assistance. Compared to Latin American countries, the Turkish welfare system redistributes more, especially through the pension system, but also causes relatively higher fiscal impoverishment for low-income households due to the disproportionately high share of indirect taxes.
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