Browsing by Author "Yukseltan, E."

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Citation Count: 9
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and behavioral restrictions on electricity consumption and the daily demand curve in Turkey
(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2022) Yukseltan, E.; Kok, A.; Yucekaya, A.; Bilge, A.; Aktunc, E. Agca; Hekimoglu, M.
The rapid spread of COVID-19 has severely impacted many sectors, including the electricity sector. The reliability of the electricity sector is critical to the economy, health, and welfare of society; therefore, supply and demand need to be balanced in real-time, and the impact of unexpected factors should be analyzed. During the pandemic, behavioral restrictions such as lockdowns, closure of factories, schools, and shopping malls, and changing habits, such as shifted work and leisure hours at home, significantly affected the demand structure. In this research, the restrictions and their corresponding timing are classified and mapped with the Turkish electricity demand data to analyze the estimated impact of the restrictions on total demand and daily demand profile. A modulated Fourier Series Expansion evaluates deviations from normal conditions in the aggregate demand and the daily consumption profile. The aggregate demand shows a significant decrease in the early phase of the pandemic, during the period March-June 2020. The shape of the daily demand curve is analyzed to estimate how much demand shifted from daytime to night-time. A population-based restriction index is proposed to analyze the relationship between the strength and coverage of the restrictions and the total demand. The persistency of the changes in the daily demand curve in the post-contingency period is analyzed. These findings imply that new scheduling approaches for daily and weekly loads are required to avoid supply-demand mismatches in the future. The longterm policy implications for the energy transition and lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic experience are also presented.
Citation Count: 0
Segregation of Hourly Electricity Consumption: Quantification of Demand Types Using Fourier Transform
(Econjournals, 2025) Yucekaya, A.; Bilge, A.H.; Yukseltan, E.; Aktunc, E.A.
Although aggregate electricity consumption provides valuable information for market analysis, it does not provide demand composition, including industrial, residential, illumination, and other uses. The information for subconsumptions is required for the reliable and cost-effective operation of the power system. As a first step towards the segregation of hourly total electricity consumption into its components, we use spectral analysis (Fast Fourier Transform) to determine relative strengths of the harmonics of annual, weekly and daily variations, to quantify the share of electricity consumption for heating, cooling, illumination and industrial activities. The method is applied to the data of France, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Turkiye, Italy, Spain, Greece, Germany, Great Britain, Poland and the Netherlands. Quantitative results obtained via spectral analysis are supplemented by qualitative features observed via time-domain analysis. The consumption ratios for each demand type are calculated using daily, weekly and annual harmonics and the results are presented. © 2025, Econjournals. All rights reserved.